UFC 307 Fight Card: Odds, Lines, Prop Bets, Predictions And Picks

The UFC 307 pay-per-view fight card is nearly upon us. The ESPN+ streaming PPV card takes place on Saturday, October 5, from Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. In the headlining scrap, UFC light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira puts his title on the line against Khalil Rountree Jr.

In the co-main event, UFC women’s bantamweight titleholder Raquel Pennington puts faces former champion Julianna Pena in a title fight.

Also on the main card is a bantamweight bout between ex-UFC featherweight kingpin Jose Aldo and Mario Bautista. Before those contests, two-time PFL women’s lightweight tournament winner Kayla Harrison faces Ketlen Vieira in an important bantamweight scrap that could determine the next opponent of the winner of the Pennington vs. Pena scrap.

Below, we look at the betting odds, line movement, potential prop bets, fight picks, predictions, and more for tomorrow’s UFC 307 fight card.

UFC 307 Main Event: Alex Pereira vs. Khalil Rountree Jr.

When the UFC first announced UFC light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira against Khalil Rountree Jr, the champ was a -500 betting favorite over the challenger, who came in as the +360 betting underdog. Today, Pereira is listed at -450 and Rountree at +340.

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Despite the lopsided odds, 79 percent of bets, and 66 percent of the handle have come in on Pereira.

The betting pick is Pereira to retain the title via knockout.

UFC 307 Co-Main Event: Raquel Pennington vs. Jessica Pena

When the odds first dropped for the UFC 307 co-main event, Raquel Pennington was the -185 betting favorite. Today, the champ is listed at -150. Jessica Pena opened at +150. Today, the ex-champ is +125.

Like the main event, the champ has picked up most of the bets (62 percent) and money (53 percent).

The betting pick is for Pennington to retain her title via decision.

UFC 307: Jose Aldo vs. Mario Bautista

Jose Aldo opened as a +130 betting underdog to Mario Bautista (-160) when their bantamweight bout was announced. Aldo has improved slightly to +115, but Bautista is still the betting favorite at -140.

Aldo has picked up a lot more bets (79 percent), but Bautista has had most of the money come in on him at 56 percent.

You can never count Aldo out, but the betting pick is Bautista to win via decision.

UFC 307: Ketlen Vieira vs. Kayla Harrison

The biggest betting favorite when UFC 307 odds were first announced, Kayla Harrison has become an even bigger favorite as fight night nears. Harrison was -77, and is now -1100. Her opponent, Ketlen Vieira has moved from +525 to +700.

With the odds being what they are, bettors are looking for value in this matchup. Vieira has 83 percent of the bets and 80 percent of the handle.

The betting pick is for Harrison to win via stoppage.

UFC 307: Roman Dolidze vs. Kevin Holland

The opening fight on the UFC 307 pay-per-view is a middleweight scrap between Roman Dolidze and Kevin Holland. Holland was the -165 favorite at opening and Dolidze was the +140 betting underdog. Today, Holland is -145 and Dolidze comes in at +120.

Dolidze has 53 percent of the wagers, but Holland has 61 percent of the handle.

The betting pick is for Dolidze to win via decision.

UFC 307 Prop Bets to Consider

Main event to go more than 1.5 rounds: -130

Co-main event goes more than 3.5 rounds: -375

Aldo vs. Bautista to go the distance: -285

Vieira vs. Harrison to go over 1.5 rounds: -310