Texans vs. Jaguars odds, picks, spread, how to watch, live stream: Model reveals 2024 Week 4 NFL predictions

SportsLine simulated Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season 10,000 times

AFC South rivals square off in NFL Week 4 as the Houston Texans (2-1) host the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) on CBS and Paramount+. C.J. Stroud and the Texans got their season off to a hot start but are looking to regroup at home after falling 34-7 to the Vikings in Minnesota. The Jaguars are also looking to get into the win column, most recently falling 47-10 to the Buffalo Bills in a winless start to the season. You may be able to stream Sunday's game live on Paramount+, which you can now try free for the first seven days when you sign up here.

Kickoff from NRG Stadium in Houston is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Texans are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Texans vs. Jaguars odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under for total points scored is 44.5. Sunday's game will be streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Paramount+ with SHOWTIME plan, which you can now get on a 7-day free trial.

Paramount+ is the only place to watch every minute of every NFL on CBS game this season. A subscription also gives you access to other sports content including the UEFA Champions League and Europa League, NWSL, Serie A, and countless movies and shows. You can now get a free 7-day trial, so sign up right here. 

How to watch Jaguars vs. Texans

• Texans vs. Jaguars date: Sunday, Sept. 29
• Texans vs. Jaguars time: 1 p.m. ET
• Texans vs. Jaguars TV channel: CBS 
• Texans vs. Jaguars streaming: Paramount+ 

Week 4 NFL picks for Jaguars vs. Texans

Before tuning into Sunday's Texans vs. Jaguars game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine's advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 188-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-22 roll on top-rated NFL betting picks since Week 7 of 2022.

For Texans vs. Jaguars, the model is backing Houston to cover the spread at home. The winless Jaguars will be going up against a Texans defense that ranks fourth in the NFL and has only allowed 163 passing yards per game, and they will pressure Trevor Lawrence into making more mistakes this week. 

Jacksonville's own secondary has allowed 252.3 passing yards per game, which will give Stroud room to throw even with Tank Dell (ribs) sidelined with an injury. Jacksonville has dropped three of its last five games against Houston dating back to 2021, a trend the model sees continuing on Sunday. You may be able to stream the game here.

How to watch, live stream the NFL on CBS

Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch your live local NFL on CBS games on Paramount+ on any device you want. Don't forget you can now try Paramount+ free for the first week.