Sunday Night Football odds, line, spread: Falcons vs. Chiefs picks, predictions by Atlanta expert who's 49-23

NFL expert Larry Hartstein, who is 49-23-2 on picks involving Atlanta, locked in his Kansas City vs. Atlanta picks for Sunday Night Football

The Kansas City Chiefs are seeking their first 3-0 start since 2020 and sixth under head coach Andy Reid when they battle the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football. Kansas City moved to 2-0 with a 26-25 win over the Cincinnati Bengals last Sunday, while Atlanta defeated Philadelphia 22-21 on Monday night. The Chiefs, who were 2-3 at night in 2023, were 3-0 indoors. The Falcons (1-1), who did not play a primetime game last season, were 5-6 indoors a year ago.

Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 3-point favorite in the latest Falcons vs. Chiefs odds via SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before you make any Chiefs vs. Falcons picks or predictions, you need to see what proven SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein has to say, given his mastery of picks involving the Falcons.

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Hartstein tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Larry's weekly Vegas contest selections form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its inception in 2022. Entering the 2024 season, Hartstein is 739-599 all-time on NFL sides and props (plus $4,860 for $100 players, every bet 1 unit) at SportsLine, including 547-452 ATS (55% long-term). 

In addition, Hartstein has gone an incredible 49-23-2 on his last 74 NFL picks involving the Falcons, returning $2,155. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Hartstein has locked in on Chiefs vs. Falcons from every angle and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds on the spread, over/under and money line for NFL betting on Falcons vs. Chiefs: 

• Falcons vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -3
• Falcons vs. Chiefs over/under: 46.5 points
• Falcons vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -168, Atlanta +141
• KC: Chiefs have hit the fourth-quarter game total under in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.75 units)
• ATL: Falcons have hit the third-quarter total under in five of their last seven games at home (+2.25 units)
• Falcons vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine 

Why the Chiefs can cover

Quarterback Patrick Mahomes completed 18 of 25 attempts (72%) for 151 yards and two touchdowns last week, while rushing for 29 yards. Mahomes passed for 278 yards and two TDs in the last meeting with Atlanta. He has two or more TD passes in seven of his past eight games against NFC opponents, including the playoffs. Mahomes has also had a lot of success on Sunday Night Football, going 6-1 with 16 touchdowns (14 passing, two rushing) in his past seven starts on SNF.

Tight end Travis Kelce is looking for his third game in a row on the road with five-plus catches, 75-plus receiving yards, and a receiving TD, including the playoffs. He has 15 catches for 238 yards (119 per game) and a receiving touchdown in two career games against Atlanta. Kelce also has had a lot of success on Sunday Night Football. He has 1,864 receiving yards (84.7 per game) and 12 receiving TDs in 22 career games on SNF. See which team to back here.

Why the Falcons can cover

Thirteen-year veteran Kirk Cousins is coming off a brilliant Monday Night Football performance. In the win over the Eagles, he drove Atlanta 70 yards in less than two minutes as the Falcons pulled out the improbable win. He completed 20 of 29 passes (69%) for 241 yards and two touchdowns in the game. For the year, he has completed 36 of 55 attempts (65.5%) for 396 yards and three touchdowns. He has been intercepted twice and has a rating of 89.7.

Wide receiver Darnell Mooney continues to be explosive. He has four receptions for 103 yards (25.8 average) and one touchdown. He has three receptions of 20 yards or longer, including a 41-yarder. He has 37 yards after the catch and has converted four first downs. The former Chicago Bear is in his fifth year in the NFL and has played in 62 games, making 217 receptions for 2,696 yards (12.4 average) and 12 touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

How to make Falcons vs. Chiefs picks

Hatstein has analyzed Chiefs vs. Falcons from every possible angle and while we can tell you he's leaning Under the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.

Who wins Chiefs vs. Falcons on Sunday Night Football, and which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Falcons spread to back, all from the expert who is an incredible 49-23 on picks involving Atlanta, and find out.