Troy vs. South Alabama prediction, odds, line: 2024 college football Week 8 Tuesday picks by proven model

SportsLine's model simulated Tuesday's South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans matchup 10,000 times

Teams looking to get back into the win column clash when the Troy Trojans battle the South Alabama Jaguars in a Sun Belt Conference West Division matchup on Tuesday night. Troy is coming off a 38-17 loss to Texas State on Oct. 3, while South Alabama dropped an 18-16 decision at Arkansas State on Oct. 5. The Trojans (1-5, 0-2 Sun Belt), tied for sixth in the Sun Belt West, are 0-2 on the road this season. The Jaguars (2-4, 1-1 Sun Belt), tied for fourth in the division, are 1-1 on their home field in 2024.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Ala. Troy holds a 9-3 series advantage, including a 28-10 win last season at Troy. The Jaguars are 11-point favorites in the latest Troy vs. South Alabama odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 57. Before making any South Alabama vs. Troy picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 12-5 on all top-rated picks over the past three weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Troy vs. South Alabama. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for the South Alabama vs. Troy game: 

• Troy vs. South Alabama spread: South Alabama -11        
• Troy vs. South Alabama over/under: 57 points
• Troy vs. South Alabama money line: South Alabama -450, Troy +339
• TROY: The Trojans have hit the first-half money line in 10 of their last 14 games (+10.85 units)
• SA: The Jaguars have covered the first-half spread in six of their last seven games at home (+4.80 units)
• Troy vs. South Alabama picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Troy vs. South Alabama streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why you should back South Alabama

Freshman quarterback Gio Lopez powers the offense. He has completed 63.3% of his passes for 1,308 yards and 12 touchdowns with just one interception and a rating of 161.6. He is also third on the team in rushing, carrying 41 times for 258 yards (6.3 average) and two TDs. He has a long run of 50 yards. In a 48-14 win over Appalachian State on Sept. 19, Lopez completed 16 of 24 passes (66.7%) for 154 yards and two touchdowns, and added seven carries for 105 yards and one TD.

His favorite target has been senior wide receiver Jamaal Pritchett. In the loss at Arkansas State, he caught seven passes for a season-high 137 yards and two touchdowns. He has a touchdown in four of five games this year. For the season, he has 36 receptions for 532 yards (14.8 average) and six touchdowns, including a long of 75 yards. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Troy

Junior quarterback Goose Crowder's status is uncertain due to a head injury against Louisiana-Monroe on Sept. 28. He has completed 43 of 62 pass attempts (69.4%) for 542 yards and five touchdowns for a rating of 169.4. He has also rushed 18 times for 52 yards (2.9 average) and one touchdown. In a 34-12 win over Florida A&M, he completed 17 of 24 passes (70.8%) for 291 yards and four touchdowns.

Junior running back Damien Taylor powers the Trojans rushing attack. He has carried 68 times for 399 yards (5.9 average) and two touchdowns. In the win over Florida A&M on Sept. 21, he carried 15 times for 109 yards (7.3 average) and one touchdown. He carried 11 times for 63 yards (5.7 average) against Texas State. See which team to pick here.

How to make Troy vs. South Alabama picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 50 combined points. It also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Troy vs. South Alabama, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.