Supercomputer predicts Prem title goes down to GD – and 'worst-ever finish' awaits Man Utd
by Tom Sunderland · Irish MirrorEngland's top flight is due for its tightest finish in more than a decade in the race for the title – but it will still end with Manchester City 's mitts on the trophy.
That's according to the latest forecast made by a supercomputer, via JeffBet, tasked with determining the most probable Premier League finish. And the artificial intelligence has calculated Arsenal will once again miss out on the crown – this time by the narrowest of margins imaginable.
12 years on from Sergio Aguero 's iconic injury-time goal against QPR gave City their first Premier League title, Pep Guardiola is tipped to clinch the club a fifth straight title, this time on goal difference. Both City and Arsenal are prophesied to finish the season on 95 points apiece, but the former are tipped to retain the trophy thanks to a superior attacking record over the campaign.
Meanwhile, Manchester United have been forecast to set a new record low and finish 12th, eclipsing last season's Premier League worst eighth-place result. The Red Devils are on a high after announcing Ruben Amorim as Erik ten Hag's replacement at the helm, but the AI oracle has slated the Portuguese tactician for a rough start in the job, and there may be no quick fix at Old Trafford.
United haven't finished in the bottom half of the league since placing 13th in 1990, though Sir Alex Ferguson in part made up for that shortfall by winning the FA Cup. The likes of Bournemouth (11th), Nottingham Forest (10th) and Brentford (ninth) are each tipped to finish ahead of Amorim's new team this term, with United backed to finish level with West Ham – whose 2-1 win at home to the Red Devils last Sunday spelled the end for Ten Hag – on 50 points.
Arne Slot's debut season in England has started off in very bright fashion, but it appears a somewhat simplistic slate to start the campaign could catch up to them. The Merseysiders sit second in the table and just one point off City at present, but the AI believes they'll drop as far as seven points off the pace and settle for third (on 88 points).
It's an even sharper drop-off to projected fourth-place finishers Chelsea, who may be happy enough with 76 points in Enzo Maresca's first season at the club. Aston Villa and Brighton follow behind in fifth and sixth, respectively, while Newcastle snag seventh to leave Tottenham potentially out of the European places in eighth (though that could still lead to a Europa Conference League berth).
Lower down the table, Premier League newcomers Southampton (20th) and Ipswich town (19th) are predicted to drop back down to the Championship at the first time of asking. And according to the numbers, they'll be joined by Gary O'Neil's Wolves as the three teams currently occupying the bottom three places in the division experience little change.
Even with Rodri's long-term injury drastically impacting City's productivity, it appears Guardiola's reign of supremacy will just about live on. And it could come at the expense of Mikel Arteta's sanity as the latest digital divinations tip the Gunners for their most infuriating near miss to date.
2024/25 Premier League supercomputerprediction
1. Manchester City - 95pts (+57GD)
2. Arsenal - 95 (+48)
3. Liverpool - 88 (+43)
4. Chelsea - 76 (+30)
5. Aston Villa - 67 (+14)
6. Brighton - 63 (+12)
7. Newcastle - 60 (+2)
8. Tottenham - 57 (+12)
9. Brentford - 56 (+3)
10. Nottingham Forest - 54 (-1)
11. Bournemouth - 53 (-2)
12. Manchester United - 50 (-4)
13. West Ham - 50 (-8)
14. Fulham - 47 (-2)
15. Everton - 37 (-24)
16. Crystal Palace - 34 (-20)
17. Leicester City - 29 (-35)
18. Wolves - 24 (-36)
19. Ipswich Town - 19 (-46)
20. Southampton - 14 (-43)
(Via JeffBet)
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