WTI remains below $69.00, upside potential appears due to US Oil demand

• WTI prices could rise amid optimism regarding US Oil demand following an unexpected decrease in crude inventories.
• EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change fell by 0.515 million barrels in the previous week, against the expected 2.3 million-barrel increase.
• Crude Oil prices may appreciate due to increased expectations of OPEC+ delaying a planned production increase.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price dips slightly to around $68.70 during Thursday's Asian trading hours. However, crude prices found support amid optimism surrounding US fuel demand after an unexpected decline in crude inventories.

The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that crude Oil stockpiles fell by 0.515 million barrels in the week ending October 25, contrary to market expectations of a 2.3 million-barrel increase.

Additionally, crude Oil prices may gain further support amid expectations that OPEC+, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies like Russia, might delay a planned production increase.

Reuters reported that OPEC+ could postpone its December output hike by at least a month due to concerns about weak Oil demand and rising supply. The group had scheduled an increase of 180,000 barrels per day (bpd) for December but previously postponed this from October due to declining prices.

Meanwhile, markets are closely monitoring ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly following a warning from Israel's military chief of a 'very hard' strike on Iran if further missile attacks occur.

Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati told Lebanese broadcaster Al-Jadeed on Wednesday that US envoy Amos Hochstein suggested a potential ceasefire in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict could be reached before the US elections on November 5. Hochstein traveled to Israel to discuss ceasefire terms with Hezbollah, as confirmed by US State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller.

WTI Oil FAQs

What is WTI Oil?

WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media.

What factors drive the price of WTI Oil?

Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.

How does inventory data impact the price of WTI Oil

The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.

How does OPEC influence the price of WTI Oil?

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

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