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Troy vs. South Alabama prediction, odds, line: 2024 college football Week 8 Tuesday picks from proven model

SportsLine's model simulated Tuesday's South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans matchup 10,000 times

· CBS Sports

The Troy Trojans will look to extend their seven-game Sun Belt Conference road winning streak when they meet the South Alabama Jaguars in a key matchup on Tuesday night. Only Tulane (9 games) has a longer active conference road winning streak. The Trojans (1-5, 0-2 Sun Belt) have forced 195 turnovers since the start of the 2016 season, the second-most in the country during that span. The Jaguars (2-4, 1-1 Sun Belt), who rank first in the conference in total offense at 466.2 yards per game, have the Sun Belt's top rushing attack at 202.5 yards per game.

Kickoff from Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Ala., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Troy is averaging 20.7 points per game, while South Alabama averages 36.5. After opening at -13.5, the Jaguars are now favored by 11.5 points in the latest Troy vs. South Alabama odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 54. Before making any South Alabama vs. Troy picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 12-5 on all top-rated picks over the past three weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Troy vs. South Alabama. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for South Alabama vs. Troy: 

  • Troy vs. South Alabama spread: South Alabama -11.5        
  • Troy vs. South Alabama over/under: 54 points
  • Troy vs. South Alabama money line: South Alabama -455, Troy +343
  • TROY: The Trojans have hit the first-half money line in 10 of their last 14 games (+10.85 units)
  • SA: The Jaguars have covered the first-half spread in six of their last seven games at home (+4.80 units)
  • Troy vs. South Alabama picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Troy vs. South Alabama streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why you should back South Alabama

The Jaguars have a one-two punch at running back with freshman Fluff Bothwell and junior Kentrel Bullock. Bothwell leads the Jaguars in rushing with 406 yards on 55 carries (7.4 average) and six touchdowns. He has a long run of 57 yards. In an 87-10 win over Northwestern State on Sept. 12, he carried just seven times for 143 yards (20.4 average) and two touchdowns. He also scored a pair of touchdowns in a 48-14 win over Appalachian State on Sept. 19, carrying 14 times for 116 yards (8.3 average).

Bullock has been impressive as well, carrying 52 times for 325 yards (6.3 average) and three TDs this season. In the win over Northwestern State, he carried eight times for 102 yards (12.8 average) and two touchdowns. He rushed 11 times for 46 yards and a score in the win at Appalachian State. In the loss at Arkansas State on Oct. 5, he carried 13 times for 66 yards. In two seasons at South Alabama, he has 135 rushes for 773 yards (5.7 average) and seven touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Troy

Junior wide receiver Devonte Ross is the Trojans' top receiver. In six games, he leads the team with 31 receptions for 555 yards (17.9 average) and seven touchdowns. His best game came in a 34-12 win over Florida A&M on Sept. 21, when he caught 11 passes for 229 yards (20.8 average) and three touchdowns, including a long of 98 yards. In a 38-21 loss at Iowa on Sept. 14, he caught five passes for 142 yards (28.4 average) and two TDs.

The defense is anchored by junior linebacker Jordan Stringer. He leads the team with 42 tackles, including 19 solo, with one sack for six yards and one interception. In the loss to Iowa, he registered 12 tackles, including eight solo, with one sack. He had nine tackles in the loss to Texas State on Oct. 3, including one solo, with one interception. See which team to pick here.

How to make Troy vs. South Alabama picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 50 combined points. It also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Troy vs. South Alabama, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.