Cowboys vs. Steelers odds, line, spread, prediction: Sunday Night Football picks by NFL model on 188-131 roll

SportsLine's model has simulated Dallas vs. Pittsburgh on Sunday Night Football 10,000 times and revealed its SNF picks and predictions

Two of the most successful franchises in the NFL will meet on Sunday Night Football as part of the Week 5 NFL schedule. The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) will host the Dallas Cowboys (2-2) in a potential 2025 Super Bowl preview. The Steelers had their three-game win streak put to an end in Week 4 at the hands of the Indianapolis Colts, 27-24. The Cowboys went on the road and beat the division-rival New York Giants, 20-15, to get back in the win column.

Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Pittsburgh is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Cowboys vs. Steelers odds from the SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 44. Before locking in any Cowboys vs. Steelers picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 188-131 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-23 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up!

Now, the model has simulated Cowboys vs. Steelers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and Week 5 betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for Cowboys vs. Steelers:

• Cowboys vs. Steelers spread: Dallas -2.5
• Cowboys vs. Steelers over/under: 44 points
• Cowboys vs. Steelers money line: Pittsburgh -148, Dallas +124
• PIT: Steelers have scored last in six of their last seven games at home 
• DAL: Cowboys have hit the 1H money-line in seven of their last 11 away games
• Cowboys vs. Steelers picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Cowboys vs. Steelers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Cowboys can cover

Quarterback Dak Prescott ranks third in the NFL in passing yards (1,072) and is tied for fifth in passing touchdowns (6). He has thrown for at least 220 yards and multiple touchdowns in consecutive games. 

Receiver CeeDee Lamb is the definition of a WR1. Lamb lines up all over the formation and uses his route-running precision to create separation. The Oklahoma product has the eighth-most receiving yards in the NFL (316) with 20 receptions and two touchdowns. In Week 4 versus the Giants, he had seven catches for 98 yards and one touchdown. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Steelers can cover

The Steelers' defense has come out aggressive and ready to play in 2024. After a month of games, Pittsburgh ranks fourth in total defense (261.3), ninth in passing defense (174.5), and third in rushing defense (86.8). Linebacker TJ Watt is a game-wrecker due to his strength and speed coming off the edge.  This season, Watt has 12 total tackles, five tackles for loss, and three sacks.

Defensive tackle Cameron Heyward is another veteran disruptor along the defensive line. Heyward uses his IQ and awareness to make plays with ease. The Ohio State product logged 17 total stops, three TFLs, and two sacks. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Cowboys vs. Steelers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 45 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks. 

So who wins Steelers vs. Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread cashes over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Cowboys spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.